Prognostic value of central venous oxygen saturation and serum lactate concentration in patients with septic shock
Original article | Vol. 18 No. 6 (2026)
Journal of Clinical Medicine Hue Central Hospital, Vol. 18 No. 6 (2026)
Original article

Prognostic value of central venous oxygen saturation and serum lactate concentration in patients with septic shock

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Khoi, N. X., Chi, L. V., Hoang, N. D., Dung, N. T., Thu, N. T. M., Tran, T. T. H., … Quan, P. V. M. (2026). Prognostic value of central venous oxygen saturation and serum lactate concentration in patients with septic shock. Journal of Clinical Medicine Hue Central Hospital, 18(6), 58–63. https://doi.org/10.38103/jcmhch.18.6.9
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DOI: 10.38103/jcmhch.18.6.9
10.38103/jcmhch.18.6.9
Nguyen Xuan Khoi
Bệnh viện Trung ương Huế
Le Van Chi
Nguyen Duc Hoang
Bệnh viện Trung ương Huế
Nguyen Tat Dung
Nguyen Thi Minh Thu
Bệnh viện Trung ương Huế
Tran Thi Huyen Tran
Le Thi Thu
Bệnh viện Trung ương Huế
Duong Thai Duy
Bệnh viện Trung ương Huế
Tran Duc Huy
Phan Van Minh Quan

Abstract

Background: Septic shock is the leading cause of mortality in intensive care units with a mortality rate of 40-60%. Central venous oxygen saturation (ScvO₂) and serum lactate concentration are two important indicators reflecting tissue oxygenation status and have prognostic value in septic shock.

Methods: A prospective observational study was conducted on 58 patients with septic shock according to Sepsis-3 criteria in the Intensive Care Unit, Hue Central Hospital, from April 2023 to July 2024. ScvO₂ and lactate were measured at admission (T₀) and after 24 hours (T₂₄). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and multivariate logistic regression were employed.

Results: The 28-day mortality rate was 51.7%. ScvO₂_T₂₄ demonstrated weak prognostic value (AUC=0,671, p<0,05) with a cutoff point of 69%. Lactate_T₂₄ showed moderate prognostic value (AUC=0,717, p<0,05) with a cutoff point of 3.0 mmol/L. SOFA_T₂₄ had the best prognostic value (AUC=0,830, p<0,001). Multivariate analysis identified ScvO₂_T₀ (OR=0,884, p<0,05) and SOFA_T₂₄ (OR=1,645, p<0,05) as independent prognostic factors.

Conclusion: ScvO₂ and serum lactate have value in predicting mortality, particularly when measured after 24 hours of resuscitation. SOFA_T₂₄ is the best prognostic tool.

Keywords:  Septic shock, central venous oxygen saturation (ScvO₂), lactate, SOFA, mortality prediction
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