Prognostic value of the biostat risk score for all-cause mortality in patients with acute heart failure
Original article | Vol. 17 No. 5 (2025)
Journal of Clinical Medicine Hue Central Hospital, Vol. 17 No. 5 (2025)
Original article

Prognostic value of the biostat risk score for all-cause mortality in patients with acute heart failure

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Dat, T. T., Thuan, L. T. B., & Thang, D. C. (2025). Prognostic value of the biostat risk score for all-cause mortality in patients with acute heart failure. Journal of Clinical Medicine Hue Central Hospital, 17(5), 107–113. https://doi.org/10.38103/jcmhch.17.5.14
HTML     408    29
PDF (Tiếng Việt)     408    151
DOI: 10.38103/jcmhch.17.5.14
10.38103/jcmhch.17.5.14
  • Tran Tan Dat
  • Le Thi Bich Thuan
  • Doan Chi Thang
Tran Tan Dat
Le Thi Bich Thuan
Doan Chi Thang

Abstract

Objectives: To determine the 6-month all-cause mortality rate in patients with AHF after hospital discharge and evaluate the prognostic value of the BIOSTAT score for predicting all-cause mortality in this population.

Methods: A descriptive cross-sectional study with longitudinal follow-up was conducted on patients aged ≥18 years who were discharged with a diagnosis of AHF from Thong Nhat Cardiovascular Center between January 2024 and December 2024. All patients were followed for 6 months post-discharge for the outcome of all-cause mortality.

Results: A total of 309 patients aged ≥18 years diagnosed with AHF were included. The 6-month all-cause mortality rate was 18.77%. Among these, 83.17% had a BIOSTAT score between 0 and 3 (BIOSTAT scores of 0, 1, 2, and 3 accounted for 16.50%, 20.39%, 24.60%, and 21.68%, respectively), while 16.83% had a BIOSTAT score between 4 and 5 (BIOSTAT scores of 4 and 5 were 11.97% and 4.85%, respectively). Compared with patients having BIOSTAT scores of 0–3, those with scores of 4–5 had a significantly higher hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality: 1.84 (p = 0.03). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.838.

Conclusion: A higher BIOSTAT score (4–5 points) was significantly associated with increased risk of mortality (p < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.838.

Keywords:  acute heart failure, all-cause mortality, BIOSTAT risk score
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